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Betting with Britt

Posted: November 17, 2017 by cschrump in Uncategorized

by Kenny Britt

Last week: 7-3

Nice bounce back last week. Need to keep the momentum going.

1) Virginia +19 at Miami. Classic trap game here. Miami coming off 2 big wins, Virginia is a decent team, and covers here. Miami wins, but it’s closer than most think. VIRGINIA +19

2) LSU vs. Tenn. Tennessee is mailing in the rest of the season, LSU may score 45 all by themselves, OVER 45

3) Navy +17.5 vs. Notre Dame. These games are usually close-ish and Navy has the weapons to keep it close. ND wins but Navy covers. NAVY +17.5

4) Michigan +7 vs. Wisconsin. Michigan has played better since changing QBs to the Avon, Indiana grad and i think they win outright. MICHIGAN +7

5) USC -16 vs. UCLA. USC is just better. Stays close early, USC pulls away late.

6) Rams at Minn. Two good D’s here. UNDER 46

7) Skins +8 at Saints. I’m admittedly stubborn and I’m still not sold on NO yet. Give me the SKINS +8

8) Pats vs. Oakland. Oakland D has been horrible. This game goes WAY over. OVER 54

9) Dallas +4 vs. Eagles. Dallas is playing for their playoff lives, it’s do or die here. DALLAS +4

10) Atlanta +3 vs. Seattle. Seattle’s secondary is beat up and if you’ve been reading my posts this year, I HATE EVERYTHING about Seattle. FALCONS +3

*Season (55-43-2)

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Betting with Britt

Posted: November 9, 2017 by cschrump in Uncategorized

by Kenny Britt

Last week: 2-7-1 (laid a pile of shit)

Season: 48-40-2 (still making money, barely)

What can I say, last week SUCKED. No excuses. Gotta change my mojo and every week that gets tougher to do.

1) WV @ Kansas St. History says game goes under. UNDER 62.5

2) Oklahoma -6.5 vs. TCU. Oklahoma can solidify a top 4 spot or fold. I say they lay it on thick. OKLAHOMA -6.5

3) ND vs. Miami. Both teams have solid D’s and both teams like to run the ball, ie: run the clock. UNDER 57.5

4) Auburn +2 vs. Georgia. Every week something turns the top 4 upside. This week this game does just that. AUBURN +2

5) Bama @ Miss St. Bama struggled offensively last week, which typically means Saban and Bama will put up 50 by themselves. And Miss St isn’t no slack on that side of the ball. OVER 51

6) Skins +1.5 vs. Minn. Don’t understand this line, I had Wash at -3. So, SKINS +1.5

7) Buffalo +3 vs. NO. Don’t understand this line either. Buffalo wins outright. BILLS +3

8) Lions -11 vs. Browns. Don’t understand why this line isn’t 20. LIONS -11

9) Atlanta -3 vs. Dallas. Atlanta needs this or their season is basically over. ATLANTA -3

10) Miami +9 vs. Carolina. I just don’t like much about Carolina and think Miami stays inside the number. MIAMI +9

*Season (48-40-2)

Betting with Britt – Breeders’ Cup Edition

Posted: November 2, 2017 by cschrump in Uncategorized

by Kenny Britt

OK, as I said last week, of the 13 total Breeders Cup races (4 on Friday and 9 on Saturday), I hope to pick the outright winner in 2 or 3, but of the 3 picks I’ll give you for each race, I’m hoping to hit 6 or 7. Why is that so important? Cause I’ll be playing rolling pick 3s beginning every race and pick 4s when available with those picks, and sometimes I’ll even add more and spread it out. I will also make win bets on the races.

FRIDAYS UNDER CARD:

Race 3 (3:35 est) I like the 3 horse, Donworth, at 6-1. He’s taking a huge drop in class and taking blinker’s off to hopefully slow him down out of the gate a little bit and get him to relax. With Blinkers off he’s 9-2-2-3

Race 4 (4:10 est) I like the 8 horse, Spiced Perfection, at 5-1. 2 year old baby race, she has improved her speed beyer last 3 starts, she’s 2-2-0-0 at this track, and has 3 good work backs coming into this race.

Race 5 (4:45 est) I like the 1 horse, Archanova, at 4-1. One of only 2 horses in this race to ever hit the board in a race this long (1 3/4 mile, which is exceptionally long).

FRIDAY”S BREEDER CUP RACES

Race 6 (5:25 est) Tough baby race on turf. Chad Brown is the best turf trainer in the world. He has the 11 at 7-2 horse with the best turf jockey in the world and the 8 at 8-1 horse with a top 10 turf jockey. He has worked the 8 back 3 times on turf since last race, but hasn’t at all with the 11. The 8 improved quite nicely from her 1st start to her second start. I’m thinking Chad just thinks the 8 horse needs a little more time and work on the grass, hence all her works and none on grass for the 11. The 2 at 9-2 is fresh off the boat, getting first time lasix and probably the best turf trainer/jockey combo in Europe. SELECTIONS 11-2-8

Race 7 (6:05 est) This is the Vegas dirt mile race. The 8 at 7-2 is 4-3-0-1 at this track, so I’ll give him the slight edge over the favorite 6 horse at 3-1. The 2 at 12-1 is a long shot play, has good beyer speed figures and has 2 really good work backs, one of which was a bullet work. SELECTIONS 8-6-2

Race 8 (6:50 est) This is the baby race on turf for the boys. Long shot pick of the day is the 9 horse at 15-1. I LOVE this horse and I’d bet we get somewhere closer to 6-1 at post time. So, he’s ran 4 races. 2 were on dirt, didn’t run well, but throw those out cause this is a turf race. His other 2 starts, both on turf, both at this track, he won, improving his speed beyer in his second start. He has 3 work backs, 2 of which were solid, 1 being a bullet. The turf breeding is some of the best, both on top and bottom. I will be placing a win bet on this horse. The 2 horse at 8-1 has improved his speed beyer every start (69-76-84-91) and should keep improving as a 2 year old. Same deal with the 13 horse at 8-1, improving beyers each start (77-87-94-102) and ran 2nd twice to our 9 horse. SELECTIONS 9-2-13 (love the 9, big win bet)

Race 9 (7:35 est) Tough fillies and mares race. Short field, but 5 of the 8 horses have a shot. I’m gonna go with the 6 at 4-1 based on having the highest lifetime beyer and Johnny V up as the jockey. He has only ridden her twice, but winning both times. The 7 at 9-2 won her last race by 5 1/4 lengths and won the Santa Anita Oaks by almost 12. Honestly, she’s probably one of those 1st or last type horses, based on her past form. The 2 is the favorite at 5-2, is 3-3-0–0 at this track and won 5 of her last 6 races, and has a bullet work back. SELECTIONS 6-7-2

SATURDAYS UNDER CARD

Race 3 (2;20 est) Lets start the day out with a long shot on this 200k turf sprint for 2 year olds. The 2 horse at 12-1 is going to do it for us. He broke his maiden on dirt by over 7 lengths, then ran 3rd on dirt is a stakes race, then got shipped on the boat, went off as the favorite in a stakes turf race and ran 7th. Has had a 5 month layoff, been gelded, and has 4 turf work backs, 2 of which were bullets. LOVE

SATURDAYS BREEDER CUP RACES

Race 4 (noon) Literally any of the 13 horses can win this race. The 3 at 12-1 has the highest lifetime beyer, the next closest is a 98. She also has a couple nice work backs. The 13 at 4-1 really turned it on her last race and looks strong. The 1 at 9-2 has improved each start and has 2 good work backs, one was a bullet. SELECTIONS 3-13-1

Race 5 (3;37) This race should pretty much hold close to form with the favorite 3 horse at 5-2 the likely winner and the 6 horse at 7-2 my second pick. The 1 is also a nice horse, but I’m going to try a bomb here and go with the 8 at 20-1 with my 3rd pick. His only race in the states he ran second in a 6 furlong turf sprint and ran a 109 beyer on soft turf. That’s a REALLY good beyer on soft turf, imagine running on a sponge and sinking down every step, never truly getting your footing. Now he’s shortening up to a 5 furlong sprint and the turf should be fast out there. Wouldn’t even be surprised if he won and an across the board bet wouldn’t be a bad idea. SELECTIONS  3-6-8

Race 6 (4:14 est) This is 1 of 2 SHOULD BE heart attack races today. What does that mean? The only way the 11 horse loses at 9-5 is if the jockey or horse has a heart attack. The 2 at 8-1 is my second choice and the 4 at 12-1 ia my third choice. SELECTIONS 11-2-4

Race 7 (5:00 est) My top 2 choices here is splitting hairs. My top pick is the 9 horse at 5-2. All she does is just win, posting a 13-10-3-0 record and 3-3-0-0 at this track. The 6 horse at 8-1 is 13-6-0-5 and 2-2-0-0- at this track and has 3 nice turf work backs. The 13 horse at 12-1 is taking blinkers off and has only had 1 bad race this year, SELECTIONS 9-6-13

Race 8 (5:37) The 8 horse at 7-2 has averaged a 120 beyer this year, that’s pretty impressive. The 10 horse at 9-2 has the same type of form. The 2 horse at 5-2 is the favorite, but don’t see any better than a third place finish. SELECTIONS 8-10-2

Race 9 (6:19 est) The 8 horse at 6-1 is second off boat, second lasix, and ran a 122 beyer last out. The 2 horse is also 6-1 and is probably the most consistant horse in the field, almost always fiishing in the money. This is a speed horse, and if it’s a speed holding track, this horse could very well take the field gate to wire. The 10 horse is the favorite at 7-2 and a nice horse. SELECTIONS 8-2-10 (as the day goes, based on track bias, the 2 may be my top pick to wire the field)

Race 10 (6:58) The second of 2 heart attack races. This is the 2 year old juvenile for males, and you’ll see some of these horses in the Derby next year. AS OF TODAY, THE 11 HORSE at 9-5, BOLT d’ ORO, IS HEADS AND SHOULDERS BETTER THAN ALL OTHER 2 year olds. Having said that, you’ll see alot of horses growing up and getting better before next May, just not today. Running for the minor awards I’ll take the 1 horse at 8-1 and the 2 horse at 6-1. SELECTIONS 11-1-2

Race 11 (7:37) This race is hard for me and tests my loyalty. But I’ll make my top pick the 3 horse at 5-1. He won this race last year, the only time he has ran in the states, and ran a 125 beyer. My second pick is the 12 horse at 4-1. I’ve won a lot of money on this horse, and I wouldn’t be the least bit mad if he wins here. My third pick is the 10 horse at 12-1. Third race off the boat, both second place finishes, 3rd time lasix. SELECTIONS 3-12-10

Race 12 (8:35 est) The $6 million dollar grand daddy of them all. This is a 2 horse race between 2 amazing horses. The 1 horse, Arrogate is the second favorite at 2-1 and based on his works, he’s back. Gun Runner, the 5 horse, is the favorite at 9-5 . Then the 8 at 6-1 is my third choice. Here’s how I see the race playing out. I think Gun Runner will take the lead with Arrogate sitting in stalking position, with the 9 and 10 up in the early mix. I think the 8 will be sitting mid pack and if the 1 and 5 get into a speed duel, you never know what can happen, the 8 can come from behind and catch them, but I don’t see that happening. SELECTIONS 1-5-8

Betting with Britt

Posted: November 2, 2017 by cschrump in Uncategorized

by Kenny Britt

Last week 4-5-1.

This is gonna be short, I’ve got a lot of Breeders’ Cup work to get to. That’s why this is a day early, and your BC picks will be out tonight!

Here we go:

1) Clemson -7 vs. NC ST.    CLEMSON -7

2) West Virginia -2 vs. Iowa St.    WEST VIRGINIA -2

3) VT -2.5 vs. Miami.     VT -2.5

4) S. Miss vs. Tenn     OVER 48.5

5) Oklahoma +2.5 vs. Oklahoma St.     OKLAHOMA +2.5

6)  Denver +9 vs. Eagles.     DENVER +9

7) Atlanta +2.5 vs. Carolina.     Atlanta +2.5

(Editor’s Note: Picks were submitted prior to Deshaun Watson shredding his ACL.  Therefore, pick #8 will not count, even if correct.  Instead, Kenny is taking Tampa +7 at New Orleans.)

8) Houston -13 vs. Colts.     HOUSTON -13 (1 gazillion star lock)

9) Tenn -4.5 vs. Baltimore.     TENN -4.5

10) KC pk vs. Dallas.     KC pk

*Season (46-33-1)

Betting with Britt

Posted: October 27, 2017 by cschrump in Uncategorized

by Kenny Britt

Season record is 42-28, which is a 60% clip. That’s good and better than most “Vegas experts”, but I want better. I feel really good about this week.

If you noticed last week, I gave a 10 star lock on the over on Southern Miss/La Tech, and that hit. I’ve got another one this week and if we’re up on Saturday, I’ll unload on this lock on Sunday.

Onto the picks:

1) Florida St -4 vs. Boston College. FSU is playing for their bowl lives, and talent prevails tonight. (THIS IS A FRIDAY NIGHT GAME). FSU -4

2) Tenn vs. Kentucky. The “White Trash Redneck Bowl” will be a shootout, will probably go over by halftime. OVER 46

3) Oklahoma St. vs. West Virginia. These games usually go under, and this one will as well. Both teams are known for their O, but both have underrated D’s, especially OK ST. UNDER 73.5

4) Minnesota +7.5 vs. Iowa. These games are usually low scoring, tight games. And, who doesn’t want to win the Floyd of Rosedale, a bronze pig that annually goes to the winner. MINNESOTA +7.5

5) Ohio St. -6.5 vs. Penn St. I still hate Urban Meyer, Kevin Wilson, and everything about Ohio St. But, they always seem to find a way to get into the final 4, and the CFPSC poll comes out next week. OHIO ST -6.5

6) New Orleans -9.5 vs. Bears. The Bears had 153 total yards last week and won by 2 defensive scores, This week, that will get them beat by 30. SAINTS -9.5

7) Atlanta -5 vs. Jets. I know the Jets are 3-4, which is 3 more wins than I thought they would get. Atlanta’s back is against the wall, and it’s now or never, ATLANTA -5 (10* LOCK)

8) Carolina + 1.5 vs. TB. Carolina gets a much needed win. CAROLINA + 1.5

9) Oakland +2.5 vs. Buffalo. This should be a really good game, but it looks like Oakland got their offense on track last week. OAKLAND +2.5

10) Dallas vs. Skins. Game will be a shootout. PERIOD! OVER 49.5

*Season (42-28)

Breeders’ Cup Preview

Posted: October 24, 2017 by cschrump in Uncategorized

by Kenny Britt

The Breeders’ Cup is next weekend, Friday and Saturday, November 3rd and 4th at Del Mar Park.

The Breeders’ Cup is 13 grade 1 races over 2 days, 4 on Friday and 9 on Saturday that bring the best horses in the world to one place, with purses totaling $28 million dollars, finishing with the Classic worth $6 million. In comparison, the Kentucky Derby purse is $2 million.

The under cards on those days are also exceptionally strong. The Breeders’ Cup is a true horseman’s weekend. I’ve been once, in 2011 when it was held at Churchill.

Horse racing is my true passion/love (after my family, of course). I once had a friend ask me why I loved it so much, was it just the gambling aspect of it? I thought about that question for awhile. And the answer is absolutely not. I can gamble anywhere; casinos, lottery tickets, bookies, bingo parlors, etc., but horse racing is about so much more. It’s called the Sport of Kings. The pageantry and traditions. The dressing up and all the cool hats. The hard work. The beautiful animals and the love people in the business have for their horse. The thundering sound of 10+ horses worth millions of dollars coming around the final turn towards the finish line. Everybody should go to Churchill and Keeneland once in their life to experience the excitement.

There’s one more reason I love horse racing. I excell at it. I’m confident in my skills. I learned from my mentor, Jeff, and have a friend, David, that have helped me along the way. There are so many angles to handicapping a race and reading a form, it would make your head spin. Type of race, distance, surface, trainer, jockey, medications, workouts, form, are just the basics. Then, you go MUCH deeper into each one and more.

In sports betting, you want and need to hit 55% to make a profit. In horse racing, if you hit 2 out of 10 races for the day, that’s considered good and you’d probably at least break even, considering the odds you get. If you hit 3 out of 10, that’s exceptional. But the Breeders’ Cup is on a whole other level of difficulty. You have the best of the best, usually 12+ horse fields. I did some research, and over the last 3 years, the average winning payout for the 39 races has been $19.75, or just shy of 9-1. And every year you have at least one, usually 2 or 3, 20-1 or greater horses win.

So, next Thursday, I’m going to give you my picks for all 13 races, and if I like any horses in the under cards, those as well. I’ll give you my top 3 horses in each race and a brief analysis. My goal would be out of the 3 horses I give you in each race, to hit 6 of the 13 races, and pick 3 winners, that would be considered pretty damn good in the Breeders’ Cup.

How do I bet? It just depends. I’ll play rolling pick 3s in every race, meaning I’ll start a new pick 3 every race. A pick 3 is picking the winner in 3 consecutive races. I’ll use the 3 horses I give you, but maybe more, depending on what I feel. If I love a horse in a race, I’ll place a win bet on him. I’ll also play the pick 4s and some tris and supers.

Let’s win some cash!!!!!

by Chad Schrump

They’ve got a saying over at the Colts’ Complex on W. 56th Street – perhaps you’ve heard it?  When the going gets tough, the divas point fingers.  What?  That’s not the way you remember it?  Well, that’s the way Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton learned it – and essentially, that’s exactly what happened Sunday after another beat down was administered to these 2017 Indianapolis Colts, this time – by the Jacksonville Jaguars, 27-0.

Image result for ty hilton post game

You see, after the game – spouting off to the media, T.Y. offered this gem, “We (were) winning our matchups. The O-line just got to play better.”

Wow. It’s as if the Colts WR – “The Ghost” decided this blame wasn’t going to be placed on his frail, little shoulders, even though he recorded just two meaningless catches Sunday.  The world needed to know that this Indianapolis’ diva had no skin in this game.

Hilton was then asked what the wide receivers could do to help their young quarterback, who was sacked 10 times by Jacksonville. T.Y. doubled down on his initial stupidity and said, “As far as receiving, nothing can change.  We got to take some pride up front and block for him.  What if we put them (the O-line) back there and take those hits?”

Colts’ fans, that’s your “star” wide receiver talking. If you’re okay with that, then great.  However, talk like that is exactly what rips apart locker rooms, especially from a guy with legitimate clout – a guy that I’m sure, lots of teammates look to – on how to act and hopefully, on how not to act.  This will have a huge ripple effect on this entire team.

The funny thing is, I don’t even blame T.Y. for being angry – for being frustrated. As currently performing, this might be the worst offense in the NFL.  This franchise hasn’t been shutout in a regular season game since 1993.  1993!  Yet, it happened Sunday.  Everyone is blasting the line, which yes, their performance was quite offensive – but it was truly more than that.

At least half of Jacoby Brissett’s 10 sacks came when the O-line provided plenty of time for the young quarterback to make a decision – to either pass the ball to a receiver, dump it off to a running back, throw it away or take off running. That’s Football-101.  Simple stuff.

Image result for colts jaguars

It was beyond frustrating watching Brissett continue to take hit after hit after hit when he could have made plays a second or two earlier. At some point, you have to help yourself and get rid of the football.  I truly don’t understand how he continued to hold onto the ball and take that vicious beating.  I’m sorry but that is absolutely not all on the offensive line!  Get rid of the football!

Brissett became a shell-shocked, sitting duck for most of the second half of that football game. Quite frankly, he looked and acted like he was feeling sorry for himself.  Help yourself out and make quicker decisions.  Why in the world did Colts’ Offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski or quarterbacks coach Brian Schottenheimer not get with Jacoby and tell him to get rid of the damn ball?  And if they did, and he still wouldn’t do it – then put Scott Tolzien back in to relieve a distressed Brissett?  Kinda tells you what they think about Tolzien at this point.  Their starting quarterback is getting murdered and they still won’t put Scott in to save their starter.  Wow.

I don’t even feel like talking about the defense. It was horrendous.  It allowed the Jags’ ridiculously mediocre quarterback, Blake Bortles, to throw for 280 1st half yards.  I mean, if you’re a bigtime NFL fan, you know how crazy that is.  Bortles is a really bad, highly inaccurate quarterback and he lit Ted Monachino’s defense up like an old, dried up Christmas tree.

Image result for colts jaguars

And not to be outdone, Jacksonville’s sensational rookie running back, Leonard Fournette, missed the game due to a nasty ankle injury from the week before – but no worries as backup T.J. Yeldon, who had not played a game all season – all season – ran for 122 yards on only 9 carries.  If it wasn’t so pitiful, it’d be hilarious.  For a bit, I thought Maurice Jones-Drew was going to come out of retirement and beg Jacksonville’s brass to sign him so he could play a series and torch Indy’s god awful defense one more time for old time’s sake.  Don’t laugh – he could’ve.

Something tells me that Chuck Pagano gets fired this afternoon – as he should. He’s completely lost this team, not that he really had control of it for the last month or so anyway, but yesterday’s disaster must be completely embarrassing to Colts’ owner Jim Irsay.  Having this done at Lucas Oil Stadium is a new 2017 low.  Isn’t there a line drawn in the sand somewhere, anywhere by Irsay or GM Chris Ballard that says, “Hey, that’s enough.  Put this man out of his misery.”

Even if he does get fired today – the season’s shot. Even though the Colts are just two games out of 1st place in the woefully mediocre AFC South, it may as well be a million.  This offense can’t score against good teams and the defense doesn’t stop anyone.  Andrew Luck isn’t coming back anytime soon to play behind that line, with that offensive incompetence.  Ryan Kelly is out again, this time with a bum hamstring.  Rookie safety, Malik Hooker, destroyed his knee and is out for the season.

And the diva wide receiver is crying to anyone that’ll listen that this isn’t his fault – that he can’t play any better – just blame the line, all the while driving a spike through the heart of his team.

Sometimes, I wish Hilton really was a ghost…and would just disappear.